Fantasy Football: Overvalued, Undervalued, and Sleepers

Looking for those late round gems, players to avoid, or big value players? I compiled a list of some of my favorites from each category.

UNDERVALUED

Zay Flowers, Ravens

Ravens updated their OC to the pass calling heavy Todd Monken in the off-season. Zay was electric in college and has continued be such this pre-season. I think Zay finishes as the rookie WR1 this year. Let the others draft QJ, JSN, and Addison. Go get Flowers and reap the benefits.

Dionte Johnson, Steelers

Dionte may have had the worst luck I’ve ever seen in 2022. Fantasy Football is all about volume and Johnson gets that. Johnson finished 8th in targets in 2022 with 147 and set a record for most targets without scoring a TD. The emergence of George Pickens should only help the savvy route runner to have more opportunities in the red zone in 2023.

Rascaad White, Buccaneers

I may be the biggest Baker Mayfield non-believer you’ll ever meet. That said, I expect a lot of check downs to running backs and that’s something White just happens to excel in. Leonard Fournette was released in the off-season and the Bucs did not attempt to replace him with the draft or free agency, leaving White a golden opportunity to take over 3 down responsibilities. Head coach Todd Bowles said he believes Rascaad has the tools to be a complete back. He’ll have the chance to prove his coach right in 2023.

Greg Dulcich, Broncos

If you read my bold predictions on Dulcich, you’ll see what I think of him.

OVERVALUED

Kadarius Toney, Chiefs

Peanut butter and Jelly, Burger and Fries, Beer and Me, Kadarius Toney and the injury report. Those are a list of commonly great pairings. Toney is voltaic and a field stretcher. The problem? He’s never healthy enough to rely on. Let one of your draft mates draft the roster clogger.

Breece Hall, Jets

Breece Hall stormed out the gates in 2022 gaining well-deserved recognition and hype. The ceiling was sky high for Hall until he tore his ACL. The Jets gave veteran Dalvin Cook a nice chunk of cash and rumors say that the Jets were targeting Jahmyr Gibbs with their first round pick. I believe the Jets know Breece won’t be ready for a full workload and will ease him into action this season.

Anthony Richardson, Colts

The 4th overall pick of the draft will definitely make some incredible plays this year, but unless your fantasy league gives points for splash plays you are better off letting a league mate draft Richardson. I just can’t see Richardson being consistent enough to trust in your fantasy line up.

Bijan Robinson, Falcons

Look, I love Bijan. I haven’t been this excited about a rookie since Barkley. However, some people are drafting him in the top 5 of redrafts. That’s absolutely insane to me. I think Bijan will be a solid pro, but he’s in a bad offense, will share the backfield with Tyson Allgeier, and even lose some goal line snaps to Cordarrelle Patterson.

SLEEPERS

Nico Collins, Texans

The 6’4″ former Wolverine has been on the deep stash radar before, but 2023 will be the breakout year for this 24-year-old. Rookie QB CJ Stroud looked Nicos way often in training camp. The big bodied WR will be the beneficiary of a muddled WR group.

A.T. Perry, Saints

Like Dulcich, I recently touched on my opinion on Perry.

Justyn Ross, Chiefs

The uber talented Ross lead the 2018 National Champion Clemson team in receiving as a freshman. Unfortunately, he has battled some significant medical concerns. Ross is healthy now and had a pretty strong camp. Kansas City is still looking for their WR1 after the departure of Tyreek Hill and I think Ross has as good of a shot to be that guy as his fellow receivers. Ross is an end of the draft grab with big time upside.

Jayden Reed, Packers

A sharp route runner that should start in the slot immediately for Green Bay. Reed is a physical WR that wins at contested catches. With only second year receivers Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson as legit threats for targets Reed is a bargain with potential to be a WR3 in your lineup.

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